Miami Heat Free Agency Rumors: Here's What We Know So Far

Oh. OK, so why haven't the Heat signed anyone yet?
Well, it's all about the market. The Pistons kicked things off by giving Jodie Meeks a ridiculous $20 million contract.


So what does that mean?
That means that Jodie Friggin' Meeks probably set the tone for the market, which means that a salary-cap-strapped Heat's desire to sign "big name" free agents got that much harder. We don't know exactly how much the Heat has to work with, but we do know the likes of Pau Gasol and Luol Deng are going to be asking for way more than Jodie Friggin' Meeks.

So we're screwed?
Not necessarily, but it does mean Heat fans need to temper their expectations a little. It would obviously be awesome to get a Gasol or Deng (or both!!!) to Miami, but those dudes would have to take serious pay cuts to join the Big Three. Basically, the selling point would be a chance to win championships. Otherwise, guys like Gasol are going to sign where the money is.

So... we're screwed.
The best way to look at this right now is to expect the Big Three to re-sign, as well as Ray Allen. And then maybe a guy or two who'll help but not necessarily be All Star-caliber.

Channing Frye or Trevor Ariza would be nice fits. But they too might be out of the price range.

So then who could they get?
Unless they can somehow convince Deng to drop his asking price, we could be looking at someone like Rodney Stuckey.

Or Kris Humphries.

Or even Vince Carter.

And they could even make a run at Carlos Boozer if he gets amnestied.

The main thing is, the Heat needs wing help, and it needs another shooter, and, of course, it needs rebounding help. Any of those names -- while not sexy -- could fit the bill.

So... we're screwed.
The main way to look at this is this: The Big 3 are coming back (stop listening to the noise), as is Ray Allen and maybe even Birdman (which would be huge). The rest is tweaking and putting in guys who will help the Heat be better than it was last year.

So time to drink some Drano?
This is by no means how things will definitely turn out. This is only the likeliest scenario -- a realistic view, if you will. The market is dictating how things will go, so the Heat is operating within that framework. And just because we haven't heard anything from the team doesn't mean it's not working.

So, prediction?
Never count Pat Riley out.

That's not a prediction.
OK. Fine. Prediction: The Heat convinces Frye to come down here and signs Humphries. It then re-signs Birdman, Ray, and, of course, the Big 3. Throw them out there with Shabazz Napier and you have a pretty good team. Still the best in the East, really.

Fart noise.

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